Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.861027 7.585594 8.391263 9.360814 10.505776 11.827415 13.487088
2025-01-12 5.544750 6.453729 7.547811 8.987857 10.874929 13.327330 16.871277
2025-01-19 4.829799 5.804134 7.037495 8.760733 11.190225 14.640316 20.225727
2025-01-26 4.400377 5.421466 6.766657 8.740349 11.701990 16.255749 24.475998
2025-02-02 4.273068 5.401920 6.952688 9.351697 13.213232 19.736607 33.265520
2025-02-09 4.097108 5.287217 6.978624 9.713494 14.392066 23.006165 43.509313
2025-02-16 3.862256 5.060947 6.808572 9.732086 14.981100 25.362022 53.320552
2025-02-23 3.714598 4.943965 6.784035 9.974281 16.010049 28.953039 69.514171
2025-03-02 3.457931 4.642546 6.442009 9.626284 15.838238 29.830487 78.246359
2025-03-09 3.257683 4.411458 6.189996 9.402673 15.869970 31.212955 90.540447
2025-03-16 3.105008 4.242252 6.022282 9.308096 16.149329 33.338903 109.186674
2025-03-23 3.015140 4.163813 5.995332 9.467528 17.009697 37.436334 146.339835
2025-03-30 2.824096 3.925762 5.702577 9.127834 16.772412 38.531536 171.696248
2025-04-06 2.644745 3.698523 5.415971 8.778163 16.474625 39.454247 201.865170
2025-04-13 2.504427 3.525234 5.208111 8.559203 16.451729 41.356357 252.715518
2025-04-20 2.408276 3.417534 5.105375 8.539527 16.929845 45.436730 365.347740
2025-04-27 2.407678 3.466597 5.283747 9.129874 19.200983 58.909329 1001.681852
2025-05-04 2.371498 3.452715 5.345554 9.478933 20.934918 72.489577 3774.562776
2025-05-11 2.296343 3.367074 5.265711 9.496864 21.678016 81.922162 21508.785804
2025-05-18 2.251829 3.331605 5.277799 9.730399 23.211492 99.413241 NaN
2025-05-25 2.147004 3.184618 5.063533 9.394814 22.703624 101.092364 NaN
2025-06-01 2.062255 3.069432 4.904721 9.179069 22.581595 106.242792 NaN
2025-06-08 1.996329 2.984703 4.800658 9.087793 22.900541 116.403458 NaN